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"We estimate that across these six countries, interventions prevented or delayed on the order of 62 million confirmed cases, corresponding to averting roughly 530 million total infections."

nature.com/articles/s41586-020

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At the same time in the alternative reality πŸ˜‚ I just saw the latter mentioned almost verbatim on Twitter in Poland and UK, which indicates they're also pushing this message in other languages.

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@kravietz That means that at a 1% fatality rate (seems to be somewhere around there), the quarantine saved on the order of 5 million lives.

@tsturm

Precisely. We just had politicians in Poland praising Brazil and Sweden "common sense" approach back in April. If Poland did that, it would end up today with 80'000 deaths instead of ~1200.

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