We must de-grow now
The data shows there is no way to stay below even 2° (see sources in second part).
We have been missing every target catastrophically. And physical reality limits what we can do now.
But there is one obvious way to avoid catastrophe, drastically de-grow.
We are being sold false hope to keep the profits flowing.
Globally we must use significantly LESS total energy 2030 even as China's & India's economies of then ~3 billion are set to almost double.
This will not happen. Our current system cannot avoiding climate catastrophe.
It gets worse.
Just in regards to power-generation, the area we are doing "best" at:
By 2030 we must double our current solar and wind power and we must have more exponential growth from there.
Instead renewable growth is stalling (http://bit.ly/Stallout)
2/2
There is almost no chance that we will be able to have the factories and workforce online in time to cover the current massive shortfall.
Even if we do that means we must offset additional factories & mines.
And we need massive advances in batteries.
All of this was foreseeable and likely foreseen a decade ago or even longer.
And it is not clear that our current system ever had a chance.
What little progress we've made is entirely based on technological advances that were not available a decade ago.
But the situation for our current system is actually far worse.
The above is based on the optimistic IPCC projections.
And devestatinglyd the projections all absolutely require fracked natural gas to be a relatively clean transition fuel.
It is not:
http://bit.ly/frackedmethane
We do not need a WW2 style mobilization.
We need a post-WW2 de-mobilization now or face a catastrophe that will devastate millions who did nothing to cause it
Selected sources:
https://www.irena.org/publications/2019/Apr/Global-energy-transformation-A-roadmap-to-2050-2019Edition
https://webstore.iea.org/download/summary/190?fileName=English-WEO-2018-ES.pdf
https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2018-full-report.
https://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at/iamc-1.5c-explorer/#/workspaces/1
@The_ogier
Energy wise only nuclear power can grow fast enough and we know how to do it already.
@brombek Most nuclear energy is unsafe, creates waste that has nowhere to go, and is simply a get-rich-quick scheme.
